Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Daio Wasabi Stayen
St. Truiden
14th · 8 pts19:15KICK-OFF WAT
Zulte Waregem
10th · 11 pts51% St.
22% Draw
27% Zulte
OUR PICK
St. Truiden to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.43
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.95X4.6423.67
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.27
12
78%
Season stats
St. TruidenZulte Waregem1.9Goals per game1.2
2.1Conceded per game1.6
0.89Points per game1.10
22%Win rate30%
-2Goal difference-4
3Form, last 5 (pts)0
St. Truiden form
LLWWWH OH Leuven1–2
A Club Brugge KV3–2
A FC Midtjylland0–1
H Lommel United4–1
H FC Iberia 19992–0
Zulte Waregem form
LLWLLH Club Brugge KV2–4
A RAAL La Louvière3–0
H Seraing United3–0
H Gent0–2
A Lille2–1
Head to head
4
St.
0
Draw
1
Zulte
Feb 2026St. Truiden – Zulte Waregem3–2
Aug 2025Zulte Waregem – St. Truiden0–2
Jan 2023Zulte Waregem – St. Truiden2–0
Dec 2022St. Truiden – Zulte Waregem2–0
Sept 2022Zulte Waregem – St. Truiden0–3
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent9+1525
4Charleroi9+621
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7KVC Westerlo10014
8Lommel United9012
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes St. Truiden slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.02 for St. Truiden, 1.43 for Zulte Waregem), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
St. Truiden sit 14th on 8 points; Zulte Waregem are 10th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.