Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Daio Wasabi Stayen
St. Truiden
14th · 8 pts0–0LIVE 35'
OH Leuven
16th · 6 pts59% St.
20% Draw
21% OH
OUR PICK
St. Truiden to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.21
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X4.9324.86
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
St. TruidenOH Leuven1.9Goals per game0.9
2.1Conceded per game1.8
0.89Points per game0.67
22%Win rate11%
-2Goal difference-8
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
St. Truiden form
No recent matches.
OH Leuven form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
St.
0
Draw
0
OH
These sides haven't met recently.
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent9+1525
4Charleroi9+621
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7KVC Westerlo10014
8Lommel United9012
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes St. Truiden clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.17 for St. Truiden, 1.21 for OH Leuven), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
St. Truiden sit 14th on 8 points; OH Leuven are 16th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.