Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · McDiarmid Park
ST Johnstone
7th · 14 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Dundee
5th · 17 pts33% ST
25% Draw
42% Dundee
OUR PICK
Dundee to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.47
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.06X3.9322.39
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
ST JohnstoneDundee1.3Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.17Points per game1.55
25%Win rate45%
-4Goal difference4
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
ST Johnstone form
DDLDWA Kilmarnock2–2
H Motherwell2–2
A Rangers4–0
H Dundee Utd1–1
A Aberdeen0–1
Dundee form
WLDWWH Kilmarnock3–1
A ST Mirren2–1
H Rangers2–2
A Falkirk1–2
H Motherwell2–1
Head to head
1
ST
2
Draw
2
Dundee
Sept 2026Dundee – ST Johnstone1–1
May 2025ST Johnstone – Dundee0–2
Mar 2025Dundee – ST Johnstone1–1
Jan 2025ST Johnstone – Dundee1–3
Oct 2024Dundee – ST Johnstone1–2
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: ST Johnstone 33%, the draw 25%, Dundee 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.27 for ST Johnstone, 1.47 for Dundee), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ST Johnstone sit 7th on 14 points; Dundee are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.