Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Children's Mercy Park
Sporting Kansas City
15th · 23 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC Dallas
2nd · 55 pts20% Sporting
19% Draw
61% FC
OUR PICK
FC Dallas to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
1.32 – 2.37
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.93X5.2421.65
Goals 2.5Over1.40Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas1.2Goals per game1.8
2.5Conceded per game1.5
0.70Points per game1.67
18%Win rate45%
-42Goal difference9
1Form, last 5 (pts)8
Sporting Kansas City form
No recent matches.
FC Dallas form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Sporting
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes FC Dallas clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.32 for Sporting Kansas City, 2.37 for FC Dallas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 23 points; FC Dallas are 2nd on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.