Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Sporting Gijon
6th · 22 pts2–1FULL TIME
Albacete
21st · 7 pts58% Sporting
25% Draw
17% Albacete
OUR PICK
Sporting Gijon to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.73
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.0025.87
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
Sporting GijonAlbacete1.1Goals per game0.8
1.1Conceded per game1.9
1.83Points per game0.58
58%Win rate17%
0Goal difference-13
12Form, last 5 (pts)6
Sporting Gijon form
WWLWWA AD Ceuta FC0–2
A Guijuelo1–3
A Castellón4–0
H Albacete2–1
A Cadiz0–1
Albacete form
WWLLLH Sabadell2–1
H Eldense2–0
A Sporting Gijon2–1
A Valladolid5–0
H Eibar1–3
Head to head
1
Sporting
2
Draw
2
Albacete
Oct 2026Sporting Gijon – Albacete2–1
Feb 2026Albacete – Sporting Gijon1–1
Sept 2025Sporting Gijon – Albacete3–4
Mar 2025Sporting Gijon – Albacete0–2
Oct 2024Albacete – Sporting Gijon3–3
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Sporting Gijon clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.59 for Sporting Gijon, 0.73 for Albacete), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sporting Gijon sit 6th on 22 points; Albacete are 21st on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.