Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Sporting CP B
1st · 21 pts3–0FULL TIME
Portimonense
11th · 11 pts51% Sporting
29% Draw
19% Portimonense
OUR PICK
Sporting CP B to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.66
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X3.4125.21
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Sporting CP BPortimonense1.7Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game1.1
2.33Points per game1.22
78%Win rate33%
8Goal difference-4
12Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sporting CP B form
No recent matches.
Portimonense form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Sporting
0
Draw
0
Portimonense
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica9+315
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8Vizela9+114
9AVS9+112
10Tondela8+112
Match preview
Our model makes Sporting CP B clear favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.28 for Sporting CP B, 0.66 for Portimonense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sporting CP B sit 1st on 21 points; Portimonense are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.