Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stadion Letná
Sparta Praha
4th · 23 pts5–1FULL TIME
Slovácko
15th · 7 pts71% Sparta
18% Draw
11% Slovácko
OUR PICK
Sparta Praha to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.41
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.78
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.41X5.6828.91
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
Sparta PrahaSlovácko1.9Goals per game0.9
1.0Conceded per game2.0
1.77Points per game0.54
54%Win rate8%
12Goal difference-14
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sparta Praha form
DLWLDA Bohemians 19050–0
H Baník Ostrava0–2
H Slovácko5–1
A Olympiakos Piraeus1–0
A Baník Ostrava0–0
Slovácko form
LLLLWH Teplice1–3
H Pardubice1–4
A Sparta Praha5–1
H Zbrojovka Brno1–2
A Slovan Liberec0–2
Head to head
3
Sparta
2
Draw
0
Slovácko
Oct 2026Sparta Praha – Slovácko5–1
Mar 2026Sparta Praha – Slovácko5–2
Oct 2025Slovácko – Sparta Praha0–0
Feb 2025Slovácko – Sparta Praha0–2
Aug 2024Sparta Praha – Slovácko2–2
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Sparta Praha clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.28 for Sparta Praha, 0.78 for Slovácko), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sparta Praha sit 4th on 23 points; Slovácko are 15th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.