WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Stadion Letná

Sparta Praha

16th · 4 pts

1–1FULL TIME

Lillestrom

31st · 1 pts

77% Sparta

14% Draw

9% Lillestrom

OUR PICK

Sparta Praha to win

Model probability 77% · fair odds

1.29

Expected goals

2.91 – 0.94

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.29X7.40210.81

Goals 2.5Over1.36Under3.63

Both scoreGG1.74NG2.25

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.12

Over 1.5

90%

Over/Under 2.5@1.36

Over 2.5

74%

Both teams to score@1.74

58%

Double chance@1.10

91%

Season stats

Sparta PrahaLillestrom

1.7Goals per game0.7

1.0Conceded per game3.0

1.33Points per game0.33

33%Win rate0%

2Goal difference-7

4Form, last 5 (pts)1

Sparta Praha form

DLWLD

A Bohemians 19050–0

H Baník Ostrava0–2

H Slovácko5–1

A Olympiakos Piraeus1–0

A Baník Ostrava0–0

Lillestrom form

WWWLW

A Start0–1

H Sogndal2–1

H Brann3–2

H Real Sociedad0–6

A Sandefjord0–2

Head to head

Sparta

Draw

Lillestrom

Oct 2026Sparta Praha – Lillestrom1–1

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Benfica3+89

2Bayer Leverkusen3+89

3Bournemouth3+79

4Ferencvarosi TC3+69

5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39

6Union St. Gilloise3+77

7Juventus3+67

8Beşiktaş3+47

9Sunderland3+27

10AZ Alkmaar3+46

Match preview

Our model makes Sparta Praha clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.91 for Sparta Praha, 0.94 for Lillestrom), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Sparta Praha sit 16th on 4 points; Lillestrom are 31st on 1.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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