NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Straume Fotballhall

Sotra

5th · 48 pts

5–2FULL TIME

Notodden

6th · 38 pts

55% Sotra

23% Draw

22% Notodden

OUR PICK

Sotra to win

Model probability 55% · fair odds

1.82

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.11

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.82X4.4324.47

Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19

Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.25

Over 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5@1.75

Over 2.5

57%

Both teams to score@1.76

57%

Double chance@1.29

78%

Season stats

SotraNotodden

2.4Goals per game1.7

1.2Conceded per game1.3

1.85Points per game1.46

58%Win rate42%

30Goal difference8

9Form, last 5 (pts)3

Sotra form

WWLWL

A Lysekloster1–4

H Notodden5–2

A jerv4–3

H Kvik Halden3–0

A Brattvåg3–2

Notodden form

WLLLL

H Vidar5–1

A Sotra5–2

H Pors Grenland3–4

A Bjarg5–2

H Eik-Tønsberg1–3

Head to head

Sotra

Draw

Notodden

Oct 2026Sotra – Notodden5–2

Jul 2026Notodden – Sotra1–0

Sept 2025Notodden – Sotra1–1

Apr 2025Sotra – Notodden1–3

Sept 2024Notodden – Sotra0–0

2. Division - Group 1 table

#TeamGPGDPts

1jerv26+3059

2Bjarg26+2954

3Mjondalen26+1653

4Brattvåg26+2051

5Sotra26+3048

6Notodden26+838

7Træff26-638

8Kvik Halden26+137

9Arendal26-631

10Pors Grenland26-530

Match preview

Our model makes Sotra clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.87 for Sotra, 1.11 for Notodden), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Sotra sit 5th on 48 points; Notodden are 6th on 38.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More 2. Division - Group 1 tips