Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 23Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Straume Fotballhall
Sotra
5th · 48 pts3–0FULL TIME
Kvik Halden
8th · 37 pts60% Sotra
21% Draw
19% Kvik
OUR PICK
Sotra to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.08
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.66X4.8325.26
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.23
1X
81%
Season stats
SotraKvik Halden2.4Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.85Points per game1.42
58%Win rate42%
30Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Sotra form
WWLWLA Lysekloster1–4
H Notodden5–2
A jerv4–3
H Kvik Halden3–0
A Brattvåg3–2
Kvik Halden form
WLLLLH Pors Grenland3–1
A Eik-Tønsberg3–0
H Vidar0–2
A Sotra3–0
H Bjarg2–3
Head to head
3
Sotra
1
Draw
1
Kvik
Oct 2026Sotra – Kvik Halden3–0
Jun 2026Kvik Halden – Sotra2–1
Sept 2024Sotra – Kvik Halden3–0
Apr 2024Kvik Halden – Sotra0–0
Aug 2023Sotra – Kvik Halden2–0
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Sotra clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.08 for Sotra, 1.08 for Kvik Halden), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sotra sit 5th on 48 points; Kvik Halden are 8th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.