Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Stadion U Nisy
Slovan Liberec
5th · 23 pts0–2FULL TIME
Slovácko
15th · 7 pts77% Slovan
16% Draw
7% Slovácko
OUR PICK
Slovan Liberec to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.30
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.48
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.30X6.10214.88
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.51
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.51
NG
66%
Double chance@1.07
1X
93%
Season stats
Slovan LiberecSlovácko1.3Goals per game0.9
0.7Conceded per game2.0
1.92Points per game0.54
58%Win rate8%
7Goal difference-14
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Slovan Liberec form
WWLLA Pardubice1–2
H Teplice1–0
A Sigma Olomouc1–0
H Slovácko0–2
Slovácko form
LLLLWH Teplice1–3
H Pardubice1–4
A Sparta Praha5–1
H Zbrojovka Brno1–2
A Slovan Liberec0–2
Head to head
4
Slovan
0
Draw
1
Slovácko
Oct 2026Slovan Liberec – Slovácko0–2
Apr 2026Slovan Liberec – Slovácko2–1
Nov 2025Slovácko – Slovan Liberec0–3
Mar 2025Slovácko – Slovan Liberec0–4
Oct 2024Slovan Liberec – Slovácko4–0
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Slovan Liberec clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (2.19 for Slovan Liberec, 0.48 for Slovácko), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Slovan Liberec sit 5th on 23 points; Slovácko are 15th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.