Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Sinobo Stadium
Slavia Praha
1st · 31 pts1–1FULL TIME
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts71% Slavia
18% Draw
11% Mlada
OUR PICK
Slavia Praha to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
2.27 – 0.77
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.40X5.6728.98
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
Slavia PrahaMlada Boleslav2.5Goals per game1.7
0.5Conceded per game1.2
2.38Points per game1.85
69%Win rate54%
25Goal difference7
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Slavia Praha form
WWDDDA FK Jablonec0–5
H Zbrojovka Brno4–0
H Mlada Boleslav1–1
A Fenerbahçe2–2
H Hradec Králové0–0
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
0
Slavia
0
Draw
0
Mlada
These sides haven't met recently.
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Slavia Praha clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.27 for Slavia Praha, 0.77 for Mlada Boleslav), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Slavia Praha sit 1st on 31 points; Mlada Boleslav are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.