Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Sinobo Stadium
Slavia Praha
1st · 31 pts0–0FULL TIME
Hradec Králové
11th · 15 pts84% Slavia
11% Draw
5% Hradec
OUR PICK
Slavia Praha to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.20
Expected goals
2.81 – 0.56
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.20X8.71220.05
Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
Slavia PrahaHradec Králové2.5Goals per game0.9
0.5Conceded per game1.4
2.38Points per game1.15
69%Win rate31%
25Goal difference-6
11Form, last 5 (pts)1
Slavia Praha form
WWDDDA FK Jablonec0–5
H Zbrojovka Brno4–0
H Mlada Boleslav1–1
A Fenerbahçe2–2
H Hradec Králové0–0
Hradec Králové form
LWLDLA Mlada Boleslav3–1
A Prostějov1–3
H FK Jablonec1–2
A Slavia Praha0–0
H Artis2–4
Head to head
1
Slavia
2
Draw
2
Hradec
Oct 2026Slavia Praha – Hradec Králové0–0
May 2026Hradec Králové – Slavia Praha3–1
Apr 2026Hradec Králové – Slavia Praha2–1
Jul 2025Slavia Praha – Hradec Králové2–2
Apr 2025Slavia Praha – Hradec Králové2–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Slavia Praha clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.81 for Slavia Praha, 0.56 for Hradec Králové), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Slavia Praha sit 1st on 31 points; Hradec Králové are 11th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.