Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Sinobo Stadium
Slavia Praha
32nd · 1 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Arsenal
7th · 7 pts28% Slavia
22% Draw
50% Arsenal
OUR PICK
Arsenal to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.62X4.4922.00
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Slavia PrahaArsenal1.3Goals per game2.0
2.3Conceded per game0.7
0.33Points per game2.33
0%Win rate67%
-3Goal difference4
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Slavia Praha form
WWDDDA FK Jablonec0–5
H Zbrojovka Brno4–0
H Mlada Boleslav1–1
A Fenerbahçe2–2
H Hradec Králové0–0
Arsenal form
WDWDWA Liverpool0–1
A Fleetwood Town1–1
H Everton2–0
A Bayern München2–2
A Nottingham Forest0–1
Head to head
0
Slavia
1
Draw
2
Arsenal
Nov 2025Slavia Praha – Arsenal0–3
Apr 2021Slavia Praha – Arsenal0–4
Apr 2021Arsenal – Slavia Praha1–1
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Arsenal slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.37 for Slavia Praha, 1.91 for Arsenal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Slavia Praha sit 32nd on 1 points; Arsenal are 7th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.