Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Tarczynski Arena
Slask Wroclaw
16th · 9 pts14:45KICK-OFF WAT
Piast Gliwice
7th · 21 pts31% Slask
22% Draw
47% Piast
OUR PICK
Piast Gliwice to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.92
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.18X4.5422.15
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Slask WroclawPiast Gliwice1.3Goals per game1.8
1.9Conceded per game1.5
0.69Points per game1.62
15%Win rate46%
-8Goal difference4
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Slask Wroclaw form
LLWLLA Radomiak Radom3–1
A Odra Opole2–1
H Wieczysta Kraków2–0
A Motor Lublin3–2
H Lech Poznan1–4
Piast Gliwice form
DDWDWA Wisla Plock2–2
H Gornik Zabrze0–0
H Cracovia Krakow3–1
A Gornik Zabrze1–1
H Widzew Łódź2–1
Head to head
1
Slask
2
Draw
2
Piast
Feb 2025Slask Wroclaw – Piast Gliwice1–3
Dec 2024Slask Wroclaw – Piast Gliwice1–1
Jul 2024Piast Gliwice – Slask Wroclaw2–0
Mar 2024Piast Gliwice – Slask Wroclaw2–2
Sept 2023Slask Wroclaw – Piast Gliwice1–0
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes Piast Gliwice slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.55 for Slask Wroclaw, 1.92 for Piast Gliwice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Slask Wroclaw sit 16th on 9 points; Piast Gliwice are 7th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.