Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Ertl Glas Stadion
SKU Amstetten
6th · 17 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC BW Linz
1st · 28 pts13% SKU
17% Draw
69% FC
OUR PICK
FC BW Linz to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.42
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.58X5.7721.44
Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.15
X2
87%
Season stats
SKU AmstettenFC BW Linz1.6Goals per game2.9
1.5Conceded per game0.5
1.55Points per game2.55
36%Win rate82%
1Goal difference26
8Form, last 5 (pts)13
SKU Amstetten form
LWDDDA Austria Salzburg3–0
H Rapid Wien II3–2
A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz0–0
H FC BW Linz1–1
A Ried3–3
FC BW Linz form
WWWDWA First Vienna0–6
A Austria Salzburg0–1
H FC Liefering4–1
A SKU Amstetten1–1
A Red Bull Salzburg1–2
Head to head
1
SKU
2
Draw
2
FC
Oct 2026SKU Amstetten – FC BW Linz1–1
Jan 2025FC BW Linz – SKU Amstetten2–0
Jul 2023SKU Amstetten – FC BW Linz1–1
Mar 2023FC BW Linz – SKU Amstetten2–1
Sept 2022SKU Amstetten – FC BW Linz1–0
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes FC BW Linz clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (0.96 for SKU Amstetten, 2.42 for FC BW Linz), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SKU Amstetten sit 6th on 17 points; FC BW Linz are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.