Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 11Friday, 30 October 2026 · NV Arena
SKN ST. Polten
11th · 14 pts2–1FULL TIME
WSPG Wels
15th · 8 pts54% SKN
25% Draw
21% WSPG
OUR PICK
SKN ST. Polten to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X4.0524.76
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
SKN ST. PoltenWSPG Wels0.9Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game2.5
1.27Points per game0.73
36%Win rate18%
-1Goal difference-13
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
SKN ST. Polten form
No recent matches.
WSPG Wels form
LWLDWA SKN ST. Polten2–1
H Wolfsberger AC1–0
H Voitsberg2–6
A Austria Vienna (Am)2–2
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1–0
Head to head
2
SKN
2
Draw
0
WSPG
Oct 2026SKN ST. Polten – WSPG Wels2–1
May 2026SKN ST. Polten – WSPG Wels1–0
Nov 2025WSPG Wels – SKN ST. Polten1–1
Aug 2025WSPG Wels – SKN ST. Polten2–2
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes SKN ST. Polten clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.63 for SKN ST. Polten, 0.91 for WSPG Wels), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SKN ST. Polten sit 11th on 14 points; WSPG Wels are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.