Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · NV Arena
SKN ST. Polten
11th · 14 pts0–0FULL TIME
Rapid Wien II
16th · 7 pts59% SKN
23% Draw
18% Rapid
OUR PICK
SKN ST. Polten to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.87
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X4.3825.61
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
51%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
SKN ST. PoltenRapid Wien II0.9Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game2.2
1.27Points per game0.64
36%Win rate18%
-1Goal difference-13
8Form, last 5 (pts)1
SKN ST. Polten form
WDDLWH WSPG Wels2–1
A SV Kapfenberg1–1
H Rapid Wien II0–0
A First Vienna3–1
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–1
Rapid Wien II form
LLDLLH FC Liefering1–2
A SKU Amstetten3–2
A SKN ST. Polten0–0
H Wacker Innsbruck1–2
A Austria Vienna (Am)4–1
Head to head
4
SKN
1
Draw
0
Rapid
Oct 2026SKN ST. Polten – Rapid Wien II0–0
Mar 2026SKN ST. Polten – Rapid Wien II4–0
Aug 2025Rapid Wien II – SKN ST. Polten0–2
May 2025SKN ST. Polten – Rapid Wien II3–1
Nov 2024Rapid Wien II – SKN ST. Polten0–1
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes SKN ST. Polten clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.80 for SKN ST. Polten, 0.87 for Rapid Wien II), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SKN ST. Polten sit 11th on 14 points; Rapid Wien II are 16th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.