Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026
Skenderbeu Korce
7th · 11 pts2–1FULL TIME
AF Elbasani
4th · 14 pts35% Skenderbeu
29% Draw
36% AF
OUR PICK
AF Elbasani to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.75
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.87X3.4622.75
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.82
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.82
NG
55%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Skenderbeu KorceAF Elbasani1.1Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.2
1.10Points per game1.40
20%Win rate30%
-1Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Skenderbeu Korce form
DDWWLH Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
H Laci1–1
A Partizani0–2
H AF Elbasani2–1
A Teuta Durrës2–0
AF Elbasani form
WDLDDH Partizani2–1
A Teuta Durrës0–0
A Skenderbeu Korce2–1
H Vora1–1
A Tirana2–2
Head to head
0
Skenderbeu
0
Draw
0
AF
These sides haven't met recently.
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Laci10-411
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Vora9-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Skenderbeu Korce 35%, the draw 29%, AF Elbasani 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.10 for Skenderbeu Korce, 1.13 for AF Elbasani), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Skenderbeu Korce sit 7th on 11 points; AF Elbasani are 4th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.