Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 22Saturday, 3 October 2026
Skeid
11th · 26 pts4–3FULL TIME
Hønefoss
5th · 49 pts23% Skeid
20% Draw
57% Hønefoss
OUR PICK
Hønefoss to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
1.39 – 2.26
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.34X5.0121.75
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
SkeidHønefoss1.5Goals per game2.3
2.1Conceded per game1.5
1.00Points per game1.88
31%Win rate58%
-15Goal difference20
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Skeid form
WLWLWH Stjørdals-Blink3–1
A Follo2–0
H Ull/Kisa4–0
A Eidsvold2–1
H Hønefoss4–3
Hønefoss form
LLWDLH Kjelsås1–2
A Eidsvold4–1
H Junkeren2–1
A Levanger0–0
A Skeid4–3
Head to head
1
Skeid
1
Draw
1
Hønefoss
Oct 2026Skeid – Hønefoss4–3
Jul 2026Hønefoss – Skeid3–1
Mar 2026Hønefoss – Skeid2–2
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model makes Hønefoss clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.39 for Skeid, 2.26 for Hønefoss), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Skeid sit 11th on 26 points; Hønefoss are 5th on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.