SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Free State Stadium

Siwelele

14th · 6 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Polokwane City

11th · 8 pts

33% Siwelele

26% Draw

40% Polokwane

OUR PICK

Polokwane City to win

Model probability 40% · fair odds

2.47

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.39

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.99X3.8322.47

Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96

Both scoreGG1.87NG2.01

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.35

Over 1.5

74%

Over/Under 2.5@1.96

Under 2.5

51%

Both teams to score@1.87

53%

Double chance@1.35

74%

Season stats

SiwelelePolokwane City

1.0Goals per game0.9

1.8Conceded per game1.2

0.67Points per game0.89

11%Win rate11%

-7Goal difference-3

4Form, last 5 (pts)3

Siwelele form

LDWDL

A Marumo Gallants3–2

A Polokwane City0–0

H Polokwane City1–0

H Golden Arrows1–1

A Mamelodi Sundowns3–0

Polokwane City form

DDLLD

H TS Galaxy0–0

H Siwelele0–0

A Siwelele1–0

H Amazulu0–1

H Kaizer Chiefs1–1

Head to head

Siwelele

Draw

Polokwane

Oct 2026Polokwane City – Siwelele0–0

Oct 2026Siwelele – Polokwane City1–0

Feb 2026Polokwane City – Siwelele0–0

Aug 2025Siwelele – Polokwane City0–1

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826

2Orlando Pirates9+1925

3Amazulu9+522

4Milford FC10+418

5Kaizer Chiefs9+414

6Sekhukhune United9014

7Chippa United9-111

8Stellenbosch9-110

9Kruger United9-610

10Golden Arrows9-28

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Siwelele 33%, the draw 26%, Polokwane City 40%.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.24 for Siwelele, 1.39 for Polokwane City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Siwelele sit 14th on 6 points; Polokwane City are 11th on 8.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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