Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 10Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium
Siwelele
14th · 6 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Orlando Pirates
2nd · 25 pts6% Siwelele
15% Draw
79% Orlando
OUR PICK
Orlando Pirates to win
Model probability 79% · fair odds
1.26
Expected goals
0.52 – 2.40
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X2115.98X6.8521.26
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.07
X2
94%
Season stats
SiweleleOrlando Pirates1.0Goals per game2.3
1.8Conceded per game0.2
0.67Points per game2.78
11%Win rate89%
-7Goal difference19
4Form, last 5 (pts)15
Siwelele form
LDWDLA Marumo Gallants3–2
A Polokwane City0–0
H Polokwane City1–0
H Golden Arrows1–1
A Mamelodi Sundowns3–0
Orlando Pirates form
WWWWWH Kaizer Chiefs2–1
H Milford FC3–0
H African Stars4–0
A African Stars0–1
H TS Galaxy3–0
Head to head
0
Siwelele
1
Draw
2
Orlando
Mar 2026Orlando Pirates – Siwelele1–1
Oct 2025Orlando Pirates – Siwelele1–0
Sept 2025Siwelele – Orlando Pirates0–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Orlando Pirates clear favourites, giving them a 79% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.52 for Siwelele, 2.40 for Orlando Pirates), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Siwelele sit 14th on 6 points; Orlando Pirates are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.