Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
66%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 6Thursday, 22 October 2026
Sitra
7th · 8 pts2–3FULL TIME
Al Riffa
1st · 15 pts21% Sitra
27% Draw
53% Al
OUR PICK
Al Riffa to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.47
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.83X3.7721.90
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.26
X2
79%
Season stats
SitraAl Riffa1.0Goals per game2.4
1.3Conceded per game0.9
1.14Points per game2.14
29%Win rate57%
-2Goal difference11
4Form, last 5 (pts)9
Sitra form
LLWLDA Muharraq4–0
H Al Riffa2–3
A A'Ali0–2
H Al Najma0–2
H Al-Hidd0–0
Al Riffa form
DWWWLH Al Najma2–2
H Qatar SC4–1
A Sitra2–3
H East Riffa4–0
A Al Nasr3–0
Head to head
1
Sitra
1
Draw
3
Al
Oct 2026Sitra – Al Riffa2–3
Jan 2026Sitra – Al Riffa1–3
Sept 2025Al Riffa – Sitra3–0
Apr 2025Sitra – Al Riffa1–1
Apr 2025Al Riffa – Sitra1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model makes Al Riffa clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.81 for Sitra, 1.47 for Al Riffa), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sitra sit 7th on 8 points; Al Riffa are 1st on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.