Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 27Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Studenternas IP
Sirius
1st · 55 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
Halmstad
16th · 17 pts83% Sirius
11% Draw
6% Halmstad
OUR PICK
Sirius to win
Model probability 83% · fair odds
1.21
Expected goals
2.91 – 0.65
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.21X8.71217.79
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under3.04
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.82
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.82
NG
55%
Double chance@1.06
1X
94%
Season stats
SiriusHalmstad2.2Goals per game0.7
1.3Conceded per game1.9
2.12Points per game0.65
65%Win rate15%
22Goal difference-31
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Sirius form
LLDWA Hammarby FF2–0
H AIK Stockholm1–2
H IF Elfsborg2–2
A Gais0–1
Halmstad form
LWLLWH Malmo FF0–3
A Vasteras SK FK1–2
H Hammarby FF0–1
A IF Elfsborg4–0
H Osters IF3–2
Head to head
3
Sirius
1
Draw
1
Halmstad
Aug 2026Halmstad – Sirius0–2
Aug 2025Halmstad – Sirius0–1
Apr 2025Sirius – Halmstad1–1
Oct 2024Halmstad – Sirius3–1
Apr 2024Sirius – Halmstad3–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Sirius clear favourites, giving them a 83% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.91 for Sirius, 0.65 for Halmstad), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sirius sit 1st on 55 points; Halmstad are 16th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.