Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
91%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Studenternas IP
Sirius
2nd · 55 pts1–2FULL TIME
AIK Stockholm
8th · 38 pts70% Sirius
16% Draw
15% AIK
OUR PICK
Sirius to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
2.82 – 1.26
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X6.3226.83
Goals 2.5Over1.30Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
67%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
SiriusAIK Stockholm2.2Goals per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game1.7
2.12Points per game1.41
65%Win rate37%
22Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sirius form
LLDWA Hammarby FF2–0
H AIK Stockholm1–2
H IF Elfsborg2–2
A Gais0–1
AIK Stockholm form
LDWDLA Gais2–1
H IF Elfsborg2–2
A Sirius1–2
H IFK Goteborg2–2
H IF Brommapojkarna5–6
Head to head
3
Sirius
0
Draw
2
AIK
Oct 2026Sirius – AIK Stockholm1–2
May 2026AIK Stockholm – Sirius0–3
Aug 2025AIK Stockholm – Sirius2–1
Jun 2025AIK Stockholm – Sirius1–2
Jun 2025Sirius – AIK Stockholm3–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Sirius clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.82 for Sirius, 1.26 for AIK Stockholm), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sirius sit 2nd on 55 points; AIK Stockholm are 8th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.