Over 1.5 goals@1.64
Over 1.5
61%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 31Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Wadzanai Stadium
Simba Bhora
11th · 39 pts2–1FULL TIME
Herentals
6th · 48 pts39% Simba
30% Draw
31% Herentals
OUR PICK
Simba Bhora to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X3.3123.20
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Simba BhoraHerentals1.0Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.0
1.22Points per game1.50
28%Win rate44%
-2Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Simba Bhora form
LWDLDA Triangle United2–0
H Herentals2–1
A CAPS United0–0
H Chicken Inn1–2
A Kariba0–0
Herentals form
LLLLWH Platinum0–3
A Simba Bhora2–1
H MWOS0–2
A Dynamos1–0
H Bulawayo Chiefs2–1
Head to head
3
Simba
0
Draw
2
Herentals
Oct 2026Simba Bhora – Herentals2–1
May 2026Herentals – Simba Bhora4–1
Jul 2025Herentals – Simba Bhora2–3
Mar 2025Simba Bhora – Herentals1–0
Oct 2024Herentals – Simba Bhora1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Simba Bhora 39%, the draw 30%, Herentals 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.10 for Simba Bhora, 0.96 for Herentals), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Simba Bhora sit 11th on 39 points; Herentals are 6th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.