Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · JYSK Park
Silkeborg
9th · 12 pts3–3FULL TIME
AC Horsens
7th · 16 pts33% Silkeborg
24% Draw
43% AC
OUR PICK
AC Horsens to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.61
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.02X4.1422.34
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
SilkeborgAC Horsens1.3Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.6
0.92Points per game1.23
15%Win rate31%
-7Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Silkeborg form
LDLDWA Odense4–1
H FC Nordsjaelland1–1
A Sonderjyske4–0
H AC Horsens3–3
A Lyngby0–4
AC Horsens form
LLWDDA Viborg1–0
A Brabrand1–0
H Sonderjyske5–1
H Randers FC0–0
A Silkeborg3–3
Head to head
2
Silkeborg
1
Draw
2
AC
Oct 2026Silkeborg – AC Horsens3–3
May 2023AC Horsens – Silkeborg0–1
Apr 2023Silkeborg – AC Horsens1–2
Oct 2022AC Horsens – Silkeborg3–2
Oct 2022Silkeborg – AC Horsens2–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes AC Horsens slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.39 for Silkeborg, 1.61 for AC Horsens), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Silkeborg sit 9th on 12 points; AC Horsens are 7th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.