Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Andruv Stadion
Sigma Olomouc
3rd · 24 pts1–0FULL TIME
Slovan Liberec
5th · 23 pts35% Sigma
29% Draw
36% Slovan
OUR PICK
Slovan Liberec to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.77
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.84X3.4922.77
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
Sigma OlomoucSlovan Liberec1.7Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game0.7
1.85Points per game1.92
54%Win rate58%
7Goal difference7
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Sigma Olomouc form
WDWDWH Zbrojovka Brno3–0
A Zlin1–1
H Slovan Liberec1–0
A Teplice1–1
H Žilina4–0
Slovan Liberec form
WWLLA Pardubice1–2
H Teplice1–0
A Sigma Olomouc1–0
H Slovácko0–2
Head to head
2
Sigma
1
Draw
2
Slovan
Oct 2026Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec1–0
Nov 2025Slovan Liberec – Sigma Olomouc1–0
Aug 2025Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec2–1
Nov 2024Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec1–4
Jul 2024Slovan Liberec – Sigma Olomouc1–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sigma Olomouc 35%, the draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.12 for Sigma Olomouc, 1.14 for Slovan Liberec), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd on 24 points; Slovan Liberec are 5th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.