Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 29Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Longquanyi Stadium
Sichuan Jiuniu
11th · 32 pts2–1FULL TIME
Shanghai Shenhua
8th · 37 pts30% Sichuan
21% Draw
49% Shanghai
OUR PICK
Shanghai Shenhua to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.13
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.36X4.8022.03
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.41NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.41
GG
71%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Sichuan JiuniuShanghai Shenhua1.3Goals per game2.2
1.8Conceded per game1.7
1.10Points per game1.28
31%Win rate48%
-12Goal difference13
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Sichuan Jiuniu form
WLDDLH Shanghai Shenhua2–1
A Dalian Zhixing3–1
H Henan Jianye2–2
A Shandong Luneng1–1
H SHANGHAI SIPG0–1
Shanghai Shenhua form
LLWDWH Machida Zelvia0–1
A Sichuan Jiuniu2–1
A Wuhan Three Towns1–3
A Svay Rieng0–0
H Yunnan Yukun7–1
Head to head
3
Sichuan
1
Draw
1
Shanghai
Oct 2026Sichuan Jiuniu – Shanghai Shenhua2–1
May 2026Shanghai Shenhua – Sichuan Jiuniu1–2
Oct 2025Shanghai Shenhua – Sichuan Jiuniu1–0
Jun 2025Sichuan Jiuniu – Shanghai Shenhua3–1
Oct 2024Shanghai Shenhua – Sichuan Jiuniu2–2
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Shanghai Shenhua slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (1.63 for Sichuan Jiuniu, 2.13 for Shanghai Shenhua), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 11th on 32 points; Shanghai Shenhua are 8th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.