Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · New Meadow
Shrewsbury
15th · 18 pts1–2FULL TIME
Gillingham
8th · 20 pts37% Shrewsbury
25% Draw
38% Gillingham
OUR PICK
Gillingham to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.71X3.9722.64
Goals 2.5Over1.87Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
ShrewsburyGillingham1.2Goals per game1.4
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1.29Points per game1.43
36%Win rate36%
-5Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Shrewsbury form
No recent matches.
Gillingham form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Shrewsbury
0
Draw
0
Gillingham
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Shrewsbury 37%, the draw 25%, Gillingham 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.40 for Shrewsbury, 1.42 for Gillingham), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shrewsbury sit 15th on 18 points; Gillingham are 8th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.