Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 12Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Lemon Gas Stadium
Shonan Bellmare
7th · 22 pts1–1FULL TIME
Iwaki
8th · 20 pts43% Shonan
27% Draw
30% Iwaki
OUR PICK
Shonan Bellmare to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.7623.32
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Shonan BellmareIwaki1.1Goals per game1.6
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.57Points per game1.43
36%Win rate43%
2Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)11
Shonan Bellmare form
DLWDDH Sagan Tosu0–0
A Consadole Sapporo1–0
H Tochigi City2–1
H Iwaki1–1
A Kataller Toyama1–1
Iwaki form
DWDDWA Omiya Ardija0–0
A Tochigi City1–3
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Shonan Bellmare1–1
H Ventforet Kofu5–0
Head to head
0
Shonan
1
Draw
1
Iwaki
Oct 2026Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki1–1
May 2026Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki1–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Shonan Bellmare slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.40 for Shonan Bellmare, 1.12 for Iwaki), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shonan Bellmare sit 7th on 22 points; Iwaki are 8th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.