Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
87%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 27Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Tiexi Stadium
Shenyang Urban
13th · 29 pts1–1FULL TIME
Wuhan Three Towns
15th · 22 pts47% Shenyang
22% Draw
32% Wuhan
OUR PICK
Shenyang Urban to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.57
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.15X4.5623.17
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Shenyang UrbanWuhan Three Towns1.4Goals per game1.5
1.8Conceded per game1.9
1.00Points per game0.76
28%Win rate17%
-11Goal difference-11
4Form, last 5 (pts)2
Shenyang Urban form
LWDLLH Hangzhou Greentown2–4
A Qingdao Jonoon0–4
H Wuhan Three Towns1–1
A Tianjin Teda1–0
A Yunnan Yukun5–0
Wuhan Three Towns form
LLDLDH Shandong Luneng3–5
H Shanghai Shenhua1–3
A Shenyang Urban1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown4–1
H Henan Jianye1–1
Head to head
1
Shenyang
2
Draw
1
Wuhan
Oct 2026Shenyang Urban – Wuhan Three Towns1–1
May 2026Wuhan Three Towns – Shenyang Urban2–2
Jun 2021Wuhan Three Towns – Shenyang Urban2–3
May 2021Shenyang Urban – Wuhan Three Towns1–3
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Shenyang Urban slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.94 for Shenyang Urban, 1.57 for Wuhan Three Towns), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shenyang Urban sit 13th on 29 points; Wuhan Three Towns are 15th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.