Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
82%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 9Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Hillsborough Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday
9th · 20 pts1–1FULL TIME
Cambridge United
8th · 21 pts58% Sheffield
22% Draw
21% Cambridge
OUR PICK
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.11
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.6524.82
Goals 2.5Over1.67Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Sheffield WednesdayCambridge United1.7Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game1.5
1.54Points per game1.50
38%Win rate36%
8Goal difference0
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Sheffield Wednesday form
DDLLWH Blackpool1–1
H Cambridge United1–1
A Doncaster2–0
A Notts County2–0
H AFC Wimbledon5–0
Cambridge United form
LDLDWA Leyton Orient3–0
A Sheffield Wednesday1–1
H Plymouth2–3
H Wycombe2–2
A Barnsley1–2
Head to head
3
Sheffield
2
Draw
0
Cambridge
Oct 2026Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United1–1
Jan 2023Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United5–0
Oct 2022Cambridge United – Sheffield Wednesday0–2
Mar 2022Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United6–0
Oct 2021Cambridge United – Sheffield Wednesday1–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Sheffield Wednesday clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.99 for Sheffield Wednesday, 1.11 for Cambridge United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sheffield Wednesday sit 9th on 20 points; Cambridge United are 8th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.