Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 28Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Pudong Football Stadium
SHANGHAI SIPG
5th · 42 pts3–0FULL TIME
Chengdu Better City
1st · 52 pts39% SHANGHAI
25% Draw
35% Chengdu
OUR PICK
SHANGHAI SIPG to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.56X3.9322.82
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
SHANGHAI SIPGChengdu Better City1.7Goals per game1.8
1.2Conceded per game1.2
1.45Points per game1.79
45%Win rate52%
14Goal difference16
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
SHANGHAI SIPG form
LWWDWH Công An Nhân Dân2–3
A Tianjin Teda1–3
H Chengdu Better City3–0
H Daejeon Citizen1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown2–4
Chengdu Better City form
LLLDWH Dalian Zhixing0–1
A SHANGHAI SIPG3–0
H Tianjin Teda0–1
A Henan Jianye0–0
H Shenyang Urban2–1
Head to head
2
SHANGHAI
0
Draw
3
Chengdu
Oct 2026SHANGHAI SIPG – Chengdu Better City3–0
May 2026Chengdu Better City – SHANGHAI SIPG0–1
Aug 2025Chengdu Better City – SHANGHAI SIPG4–1
Apr 2025SHANGHAI SIPG – Chengdu Better City1–3
Oct 2024Chengdu Better City – SHANGHAI SIPG3–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: SHANGHAI SIPG 39%, the draw 25%, Chengdu Better City 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.42 for SHANGHAI SIPG, 1.34 for Chengdu Better City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 42 points; Chengdu Better City are 1st on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.