Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Shanghai Stadium
Shanghai Shenhua
8th · 37 pts08:30KICK-OFF WAT
Qingdao Youth Island
7th · 39 pts58% Shanghai
21% Draw
21% Qingdao
OUR PICK
Shanghai Shenhua to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.12
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.6824.83
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Shanghai ShenhuaQingdao Youth Island2.2Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game1.3
1.28Points per game1.34
48%Win rate28%
13Goal difference-6
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Shanghai Shenhua form
No recent matches.
Qingdao Youth Island form
DLLDDH Yunnan Yukun1–1
A Beijing Guoan1–0
H Dalian Zhixing0–4
A Wuhan Three Towns2–2
A Tianjin Teda1–1
Head to head
0
Shanghai
0
Draw
0
Qingdao
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Shanghai Shenhua clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.01 for Shanghai Shenhua, 1.12 for Qingdao Youth Island), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shanghai Shenhua sit 8th on 37 points; Qingdao Youth Island are 7th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.