CHNSuper League · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong Luneng

4th · 44 pts
08:30KICK-OFF WAT

Chengdu Better City

1st · 52 pts
41% Shandong
23% Draw
36% Chengdu
OUR PICK
Shandong Luneng to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.44
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.59
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.44X4.3522.78
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%

Season stats

Shandong LunengChengdu Better City
2.0Goals per game1.8
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.52Points per game1.79
52%Win rate52%
10Goal difference16
11Form, last 5 (pts)4

Shandong Luneng form

WWDDL
A Wuhan Three Towns3–5
H Hangzhou Greentown5–0
A Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1
H Sichuan Jiuniu1–1
H SHANGHAI SIPG0–3

Chengdu Better City form

LLLDW
H Dalian Zhixing0–1
A SHANGHAI SIPG3–0
H Tianjin Teda0–1
A Henan Jianye0–0
H Shenyang Urban2–1

Head to head

1
Shandong
0
Draw
4
Chengdu
May 2026Chengdu Better City – Shandong Luneng1–0
Aug 2025Chengdu Better City – Shandong Luneng2–1
Jun 2025Shandong Luneng – Chengdu Better City1–3
Apr 2025Shandong Luneng – Chengdu Better City0–3
Sept 2024Shandong Luneng – Chengdu Better City1–0

Super League table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Shandong Luneng 41%, the draw 23%, Chengdu Better City 36%.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.71 for Shandong Luneng, 1.59 for Chengdu Better City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 44 points; Chengdu Better City are 1st on 52.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.