Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%


Our model sees little between the sides: Shandong Luneng 41%, the draw 23%, Chengdu Better City 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.71 for Shandong Luneng, 1.59 for Chengdu Better City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 44 points; Chengdu Better City are 1st on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.