Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Arena Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st · 28 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Dynamo Kyiv
4th · 19 pts63% Shakhtar
23% Draw
14% Dynamo
OUR PICK
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.70
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.59X4.4127.00
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Shakhtar DonetskDynamo Kyiv2.0Goals per game1.6
0.5Conceded per game1.0
2.55Points per game2.11
82%Win rate67%
17Goal difference5
13Form, last 5 (pts)12
Shakhtar Donetsk form
WDLWH Dynamo Kyiv3–0
H Zorya Luhansk0–0
A Inter1–0
H Kolos Kovalivka2–1
Dynamo Kyiv form
LWLWWA Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
H Kudrivka3–1
A Polessya3–1
H Karpaty1–0
A Zorya Luhansk0–2
Head to head
3
Shakhtar
1
Draw
1
Dynamo
Oct 2026Shakhtar Donetsk – Dynamo Kyiv3–0
May 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Shakhtar Donetsk1–2
Nov 2025Shakhtar Donetsk – Dynamo Kyiv3–1
Oct 2025Dynamo Kyiv – Shakhtar Donetsk2–1
May 2025Shakhtar Donetsk – Dynamo Kyiv1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.77 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 0.70 for Dynamo Kyiv), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st on 28 points; Dynamo Kyiv are 4th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.