Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · comtech Arena
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th · 12 pts1–5FULL TIME
Waldhof Mannheim
8th · 16 pts36% SG
24% Draw
39% Waldhof
OUR PICK
Waldhof Mannheim to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.55
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X4.1422.53
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachWaldhof Mannheim1.2Goals per game1.8
2.3Conceded per game1.6
1.09Points per game1.33
27%Win rate42%
-12Goal difference2
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach form
LLWDLH FC Augsburg2–4
A SV Wehen7–1
H Preußen Münster3–2
A FC Viktoria Köln2–2
H Waldhof Mannheim1–5
Waldhof Mannheim form
LWLLWA FC Saarbrücken2–1
H Hoffenheim II4–1
A Würzburger Kickers2–0
H FC Ingolstadt 040–3
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–5
Head to head
0
SG
0
Draw
3
Waldhof
Oct 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Waldhof Mannheim1–5
Jun 2020Waldhof Mannheim – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3–2
Nov 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Waldhof Mannheim0–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5SV Wehen12+618
6FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 36%, the draw 24%, Waldhof Mannheim 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.48 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 1.55 for Waldhof Mannheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 18th on 12 points; Waldhof Mannheim are 8th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.