Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · comtech Arena
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th · 12 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Rot-Weiß Essen
3rd · 21 pts22% SG
22% Draw
56% Rot-Weiß
OUR PICK
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.95
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.47X4.5621.80
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachRot-Weiß Essen1.2Goals per game1.7
2.3Conceded per game1.2
1.09Points per game1.91
27%Win rate55%
-12Goal difference6
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach form
LLWDLH FC Augsburg2–4
A SV Wehen7–1
H Preußen Münster3–2
A FC Viktoria Köln2–2
H Waldhof Mannheim1–5
Rot-Weiß Essen form
LWLWDH RB Leipzig1–2
H SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0
A FC Ingolstadt 041–0
H Fortuna Köln2–0
A Preußen Münster3–3
Head to head
0
SG
0
Draw
0
Rot-Weiß
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Rot-Weiß Essen clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.16 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 1.95 for Rot-Weiß Essen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 18th on 12 points; Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.