Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
SUISuper League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stade de Geneve
Servette FC
6th · 16 pts3–0FULL TIME
FC Sion
3rd · 23 pts30% Servette
24% Draw
45% FC
OUR PICK
FC Sion to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.61
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.29X4.0922.22
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Servette FCFC Sion1.4Goals per game2.1
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.33Points per game1.92
42%Win rate58%
1Goal difference7
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
Servette FC form
LWWWLA FC ST. Gallen2–1
H FC Vaduz2–1
A Rotkreuz0–4
H FC Sion3–0
A Annecy2–1
FC Sion form
DWWLLA FC Luzern1–1
H Lausanne1–0
A Cham0–2
A Servette FC3–0
A Saint Etienne5–1
Head to head
2
Servette
3
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026Servette FC – FC Sion3–0
Feb 2026Servette FC – FC Sion0–0
Jan 2026Servette FC – FC Sion3–3
Sept 2025FC Sion – Servette FC0–2
Apr 2025FC Sion – Servette FC1–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano12+2634
2BSC Young Boys12+1525
3FC Sion12+723
4FC Zurich12-120
5FC ST. Gallen12-319
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189312-414
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Thun12-1013
10FC Vaduz12-110
Match preview
Our model makes FC Sion slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.28 for Servette FC, 1.61 for FC Sion), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Servette FC sit 6th on 16 points; FC Sion are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.