Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
ROULiga I · Matchday 13Monday, 26 October 2026 · Stadionul Sepsi
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
11th · 15 pts0–5FULL TIME
Universitatea Craiova
2nd · 32 pts15% Sepsi
26% Draw
59% Universitatea
OUR PICK
Universitatea Craiova to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
0.63 – 1.52
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.53X3.8821.70
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.18
X2
85%
Season stats
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUniversitatea Craiova0.6Goals per game2.4
1.4Conceded per game0.7
1.07Points per game2.29
21%Win rate71%
-10Goal difference24
2Form, last 5 (pts)15
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe form
DDLDLA Oţelul1–1
A Concordia1–1
H Universitatea Craiova0–5
A Petrolul Ploiesti1–1
H Dinamo Bucuresti0–2
Universitatea Craiova form
WDWWWH FC Botosani2–1
A FC Voluntari1–1
A Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0–5
A Inter Club d'Escaldes1–3
H Farul Constanta2–0
Head to head
0
Sepsi
0
Draw
5
Universitatea
Oct 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – Universitatea Craiova0–5
Dec 2024Universitatea Craiova – Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe2–1
Aug 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – Universitatea Craiova1–2
May 2024Universitatea Craiova – Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3–2
Apr 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – Universitatea Craiova1–3
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model makes Universitatea Craiova clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.63 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 1.52 for Universitatea Craiova), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th on 15 points; Universitatea Craiova are 2nd on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.