Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Peter Mokaba Stadium
Sekhukhune United
6th · 14 pts2–1FULL TIME
Marumo Gallants
15th · 5 pts53% Sekhukhune
26% Draw
21% Marumo
OUR PICK
Sekhukhune United to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.85
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X3.8724.79
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.74
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Sekhukhune UnitedMarumo Gallants1.0Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.9
1.56Points per game0.56
44%Win rate11%
0Goal difference-8
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sekhukhune United form
LWWWDA Milford FC1–0
H Richards Bay3–1
H Marumo Gallants2–1
A Richards Bay2–3
A Stellenbosch1–1
Marumo Gallants form
WLLLLH Siwelele3–2
A Mamelodi Sundowns1–0
A Sekhukhune United2–1
H Orlando Pirates0–2
A Amazulu1–0
Head to head
3
Sekhukhune
2
Draw
0
Marumo
Oct 2026Sekhukhune United – Marumo Gallants2–1
Apr 2026Sekhukhune United – Marumo Gallants1–1
Nov 2025Marumo Gallants – Sekhukhune United1–1
Mar 2025Marumo Gallants – Sekhukhune United1–2
Dec 2024Sekhukhune United – Marumo Gallants1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Sekhukhune United clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.53 for Sekhukhune United, 0.85 for Marumo Gallants), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sekhukhune United sit 6th on 14 points; Marumo Gallants are 15th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.