Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 32Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Lumen Field
Seattle Sounders
10th · 43 pts0–1FULL TIME
Houston Dynamo
5th · 51 pts42% Seattle
29% Draw
29% Houston
OUR PICK
Seattle Sounders to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.97
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.39X3.4623.42
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.60
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo1.3Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.30Points per game1.55
33%Win rate42%
-3Goal difference1
2Form, last 5 (pts)6
Seattle Sounders form
LLDDLA Vancouver Whitecaps5–1
H Houston Dynamo0–1
A San Diego2–2
H CF Montreal1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Houston Dynamo form
LWDDDA Portland Timbers3–1
A Seattle Sounders0–1
H Minnesota United FC0–0
H FC Dallas2–2
A San Diego3–3
Head to head
2
Seattle
2
Draw
1
Houston
Oct 2026Seattle Sounders – Houston Dynamo0–1
Apr 2026Houston Dynamo – Seattle Sounders0–1
May 2025Houston Dynamo – Seattle Sounders1–3
Mar 2025Seattle Sounders – Houston Dynamo0–0
Nov 2024Houston Dynamo – Seattle Sounders1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Seattle Sounders slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.22 for Seattle Sounders, 0.97 for Houston Dynamo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Seattle Sounders sit 10th on 43 points; Houston Dynamo are 5th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.