Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Lumen Field
Seattle Sounders
10th · 43 pts1–1FULL TIME
CF Montreal
59% Seattle
23% Draw
18% CF
OUR PICK
Seattle Sounders to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.91
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X4.4225.45
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Seattle Sounders form
LLDDLA Vancouver Whitecaps5–1
H Houston Dynamo0–1
A San Diego2–2
H CF Montreal1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
CF Montreal form
DLLDDA New York City FC1–1
A Charlotte4–0
H Nashville SC0–2
H Forge1–1
A Seattle Sounders1–1
Head to head
1
Seattle
1
Draw
3
CF
Oct 2026Seattle Sounders – CF Montreal1–1
Apr 2024Seattle Sounders – CF Montreal5–0
Jun 2022Seattle Sounders – CF Montreal1–2
Jun 2019CF Montreal – Seattle Sounders2–1
Apr 2018Seattle Sounders – CF Montreal0–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Seattle Sounders clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.83 for Seattle Sounders, 0.91 for CF Montreal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.