Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 5Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Home Deluxe Arena
SC Paderborn 07
14th · 9 pts0–2FULL TIME
VfB Stuttgart
11th · 9 pts46% SC
26% Draw
28% VfB
OUR PICK
SC Paderborn 07 to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.16X3.9023.55
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart0.8Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game1.9
1.13Points per game1.13
25%Win rate38%
-3Goal difference-1
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
SC Paderborn 07 form
DLWDLA Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
H VfB Stuttgart0–1
H Hamburger SV1–0
A Werder Bremen2–2
H VfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart form
WWLDLA Bayer Leverkusen2–4
A SC Paderborn 070–1
H Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3
H Atletico Madrid1–1
A Hamburger SV1–0
Head to head
0
SC
1
Draw
4
VfB
Oct 2026SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart0–1
Oct 2026SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart0–2
Jan 2023SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart1–2
May 2015SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart1–2
Dec 2014VfB Stuttgart – SC Paderborn 070–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model makes SC Paderborn 07 slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.51 for SC Paderborn 07, 1.12 for VfB Stuttgart), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SC Paderborn 07 sit 14th on 9 points; VfB Stuttgart are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.