Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
SC Braga
16th · 3 pts2–0FULL TIME
Gent
17th · 3 pts27% SC
26% Draw
47% Gent
OUR PICK
Gent to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.68X3.8622.13
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
SC BragaGent1.0Goals per game0.5
1.5Conceded per game1.0
1.50Points per game1.50
50%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
SC Braga form
WDLWLH Famalicao2–0
H Famalicao2–2
A Nacional1–0
H Gent2–0
H GIL Vicente1–2
Gent form
WLDWWH Anderlecht4–0
A SC Braga2–0
A Rochefort3–3
H Aarhus1–0
A Zulte Waregem0–2
Head to head
1
SC
2
Draw
0
Gent
Oct 2026SC Braga – Gent2–0
Nov 2016Gent – SC Braga2–2
Sept 2016SC Braga – Gent1–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Gent slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.07 for SC Braga, 1.49 for Gent), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SC Braga sit 16th on 3 points; Gent are 17th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.