Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
PORPrimeira Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
SC Braga
8th · 14 pts3–0FULL TIME
Famalicao
11th · 10 pts34% SC
28% Draw
38% Famalicao
OUR PICK
Famalicao to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.61
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.24
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.94X3.6122.61
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.75
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
51%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
SC BragaFamalicao1.2Goals per game1.4
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.40Points per game1.00
40%Win rate20%
1Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
SC Braga form
WDLWLH Famalicao2–0
H Famalicao2–2
A Nacional1–0
H Gent2–0
H GIL Vicente1–2
Famalicao form
LDWLLA SC Braga3–0
A SC Braga2–2
A Rio Ave0–4
A Paredes1–0
H Alverca1–4
Head to head
2
SC
3
Draw
0
Famalicao
Nov 2026SC Braga – Famalicao3–0
Oct 2026SC Braga – Famalicao2–2
Apr 2026SC Braga – Famalicao2–2
Dec 2025Famalicao – SC Braga1–2
Apr 2025Famalicao – SC Braga1–1
Primeira Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara10+921
5Arouca10+620
6Academico Viseu10+320
7GIL Vicente9+114
8SC Braga10+114
9Moreirense10-414
10Alverca9011
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: SC Braga 34%, the draw 28%, Famalicao 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.15 for SC Braga, 1.24 for Famalicao), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
SC Braga sit 8th on 14 points; Famalicao are 11th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.