Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 25Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th · 31 pts2–4FULL TIME
Kristiansund BK
15th · 23 pts58% Sarpsborg
23% Draw
19% Kristiansund
OUR PICK
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.92
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.74X4.3225.20
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK1.3Goals per game1.2
1.6Conceded per game2.0
1.24Points per game0.92
32%Win rate24%
-7Goal difference-22
6Form, last 5 (pts)4
Sarpsborg 08 FF form
LWWLWH Kristiansund BK2–4
H Valerenga3–2
H Aalesund2–1
H Rosenborg0–3
A Aalesund2–4
Kristiansund BK form
WLDLLA Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
H Aalesund0–2
H KFUM Oslo2–2
H Aalesund1–4
A Bodo/Glimt3–1
Head to head
1
Sarpsborg
2
Draw
2
Kristiansund
Nov 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF – Kristiansund BK2–4
Jul 2026Kristiansund BK – Sarpsborg 08 FF0–0
Feb 2026Kristiansund BK – Sarpsborg 08 FF0–1
Aug 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF – Kristiansund BK0–1
Jul 2025Kristiansund BK – Sarpsborg 08 FF0–0
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.78 for Sarpsborg 08 FF, 0.92 for Kristiansund BK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points; Kristiansund BK are 15th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.