Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
56%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Monday, 19 October 2026 · Estadio Eva Peron
Sarmiento Junin
1–1FULL TIME
Barracas Central
31% Sarmiento
32% Draw
38% Barracas
OUR PICK
Barracas Central to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.66
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.27X3.1422.66
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.44
X2
69%
Sarmiento Junin form
LLDDWH Rosario Central1–2
A Gimnasia L.P.2–0
H Barracas Central1–1
H River Plate1–1
A Aldosivi1–3
Barracas Central form
DWDWWA Belgrano Cordoba2–2
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Huracan2–0
A Atletico Tucuman2–3
Head to head
2
Sarmiento
3
Draw
0
Barracas
Oct 2026Sarmiento Junin – Barracas Central1–1
Apr 2026Barracas Central – Sarmiento Junin1–2
Sept 2025Barracas Central – Sarmiento Junin0–1
Mar 2025Sarmiento Junin – Barracas Central1–1
May 2024Barracas Central – Sarmiento Junin1–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Sarmiento Junin 31%, the draw 32%, Barracas Central 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.88 for Sarmiento Junin, 1.01 for Barracas Central), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.