Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 13Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Estadio TSM Corona
Santos Laguna
8th · 22 pts2–0FULL TIME
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10th · 20 pts44% Santos
24% Draw
32% U.N.A.M.
OUR PICK
Santos Laguna to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.33
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.28X4.1023.14
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Santos LagunaU.N.A.M. - Pumas1.4Goals per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.6
1.47Points per game1.33
47%Win rate33%
1Goal difference-2
12Form, last 5 (pts)8
Santos Laguna form
WLWWWH Necaxa1–0
A Club Tijuana4–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0
H Club Queretaro5–0
A Atletico San Luis1–2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Head to head
2
Santos
1
Draw
2
U.N.A.M.
Oct 2026Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0
Jan 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Santos Laguna4–0
Jul 2025Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–0
Apr 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Santos Laguna2–0
Jul 2024Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Santos Laguna slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.60 for Santos Laguna, 1.33 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Santos Laguna sit 8th on 22 points; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 10th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.